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Connelly Early

#19 - Starting Pitcher

Washington Nationals

Bats / Throws Left / Left
Date of Birth 4/3/2002 (24)
Height, Weight 6'3", 195 lb
Hometown Midlothian, VA

2026 Season Stats

MLB Rank MLB Average
W-L IP ERA WHIP K% BB%
7-5 91.2 3.44 1.25 23.8% 8.7%
39th 5
W
95th 83.0
IP
51st 4.40
ERA
79th 1.31
WHIP
70th 21.6%
K%
120th 8.5%
BB%
FB MPH SwStr% CSW% Str-ICR MTK% PLV PLA
94.0 11.1% 28.4% 51.9% 3.5% 4.93 3.54
112th 94.3
FB MPH
108th 11.6%
SwStr%
64th 27.7%
CSW%
61st 50.0%
Str-ICR
30th 4.9%
MTK%
130th 4.97
PLV
128th 3.29
PLA

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Connelly Early Overview

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Year Team G GS IP W-L QS ERA WHIP xERA FIP xFIP PLA K% BB% H/9 HR/9 BABIP HR/FB% LOB% ICR% GB% SwStr% CSW% IPR% PLV
2025 BOS 4 4 19.1 1-2 0 2.33 1.09 1.48 0.88 2.55 2.80 36.7% 5.1% 7.9 0.00 .378 0.0% 72.7% 40.0% 46.7% 17.3% 30.7% 0.62 5.19
2026 BOS 17 17 91.2 7-5 7 3.44 1.25 3.86 4.62 4.23 3.54 23.8% 8.7% 8.0 1.47 .277 23.1% 86.4% 37.0% 44.8% 11.1% 28.4% 0.52 4.93
SP MLB Percentile 40 53 52 72-45 65 74 59 64 36 50 36 65 39 62 26 58 24 98 63 59 45 67 70 32
SP MLB AVG 17 15 83.0 5-5 5 4.40 1.31 4.42 4.36 4.27 3.29 21.6% 8.5% 8.5 1.28 .287 19.5% 72.6% 38.5% 42.9% 11.6% 27.7% 0.47 4.97
Career 21 21 111.0 8-7 7 3.24 1.23 3.44 3.97 3.93 3.41 26.0% 8.1% 7.9 1.22 .293 19.2% 84.0% 37.5% 45.1% 12.2% 28.8% 0.54 4.98

Connelly Early Repertoire

2025 2026 All
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Connelly Early Game Log

Connelly Early Standard

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Year Team G GS IP W-L QS Sv Hld P Strikes Balls TBF H 1B 2B 3B HR K BB HB WP
2025 BOS 4 4 19.1 1-2 0 0 0 323 208 115 79 17 16 1 0 0 29 4 1 0
2026 BOS 17 17 91.2 7-5 7 0 0 1,528 981 548 390 81 54 12 0 15 93 34 9 4
SP MLB Percentile 40 53 52 72-45 65 0 0 55 54 45 52 48 44 63 68 18 68 31 4 11
SP MLB AVG 17 15 83.0 5-5 5 0 0 1,366 874 493 353 77 50 15 1 11 77 29 4 2
Career 21 21 111.0 8-7 7 0 0 1,851 1,189 663 469 98 70 13 0 15 122 38 10 4

Connelly Early Advanced

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Year Team K% BB% AVG SLG OPS wOBA BABIP BACON xAVG xwOBA xBABIP xwoBACON EV FB EV LA xERA
2025 BOS 36.7% 5.1% .230 .243 .521 .239 .378 .378 .166 .190 .273 .255 87.9 85.7 16.9 1.48
2026 BOS 23.8% 8.7% .235 .401 .720 .319 .277 .320 .214 .307 .250 .352 89.5 91.8 12.3 3.86
SP MLB Percentile 65 39 64 53 52 50 58 53 88 64 90 69 26 21 65 64
SP MLB AVG 21.6% 8.5% .246 .414 .730 .320 .287 .321 .246 .325 .285 .375 88.5 90.0 13.9 4.42
Career 26.0% 8.1% .234 .373 .685 .306 .293 .329 .206 .287 .253 .337 89.3 90.8 13.0 3.44

Connelly Early Pitch › Mix

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Year Team FF% (MPH) SI% (MPH) FC% (MPH) SL% (MPH) ST% (MPH) CB% (MPH) CH% (MPH) FS% (MPH) KN% (MPH) Fastball% Secondary%
2025 BOS29.4% (94.0)12.7% (93.0)-12.1% (86.5)5.3% (82.6)21.1% (80.7)19.5% (84.0)-- 42.1% 57.9%
2026 BOS35.1% (94.0)19.9% (92.4)-8.1% (87.1)7.9% (82.5)10.9% (80.0)18.3% (83.7)-- 55.0% 45.0%
SP MLB Percentile 54 (41) 54 (28) - 20 (63) 22 (54) 42 (47) 59 (17) - - 84.0% 15.0%
SP MLB AVG 33.5% (94.3) 20.0% (93.7) 16.4% (89.2) 18.0% (86.1) 16.3% (82.2) 14.2% (80.1) 17.0% (86.3) 17.5% (86.4) 28.5% (80.8) 46.7% 53.3%
Career34.1% (94.0)18.6% (92.5)-8.8% (86.9)7.4% (82.5)12.6% (80.2)18.5% (83.7)-- 52.7% 47.3%

Connelly Early Pitch › Results

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Year Team FF CSW% SI CSW% FC CSW% SL CSW% ST CSW% CB CSW% CH CSW% FS CSW% KN CSW% Fastball CSW% Secondary CSW%
2025 BOS30.5% (12)39.0% (7)-35.9% (6)70.6% (9)27.9% (13)14.3% (9)-- 33.1% 28.9%
2026 BOS28.7% (66)30.9% (14)-35.0% (16)35.0% (25)26.5% (15)20.4% (34)-- 29.5% 27.0%
SP MLB Percentile 65 (77) 82 (61) - 86 (41) 88 (66) 30 (51) 30 (67) - - 78.5% 41.5%
SP MLB AVG 27.1% (44) 26.6% (14) 27.2% (20) 28.5% (30) 27.6% (22) 29.8% (22) 23.1% (29) 21.9% (36) 24.7% (14) 27.3% 27.9%
Career29.0% (78)31.9% (21)-35.2% (22)39.4% (34)26.9% (28)19.3% (43)-- 30.0% 27.4%

Connelly Early Batted Ball › Contact

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team GB% LD% FB% PU% SS% Pull% Cent% Oppo% Foul Str% PC% Fl&B% Solid% Brl% ICR%
2025 BOS 46.7% 15.6% 28.9% 8.9% 28.9% 53.3% 31.1% 15.6% 19.8% 60.0% 31.1% 4.4% 4.4% 40.0%
2026 BOS 44.8% 20.2% 25.8% 9.1% 34.5% 43.7% 37.4% 18.9% 19.2% 62.7% 21.0% 6.3% 9.9% 37.0%
SP MLB Percentile 59 75 68 41 63 63 87 6 73 62 90 46 15 63
SP MLB AVG 42.9% 22.3% 24.6% 10.2% 35.8% 42.3% 33.2% 24.5% 18.3% 61.3% 24.6% 6.3% 7.9% 38.5%
Career 45.1% 19.5% 26.3% 9.1% 33.7% 45.2% 36.5% 18.4% 19.3% 62.4% 22.6% 6.1% 9.1% 37.5%

Connelly Early Batted Ball › Outcomes

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team AVG wOBA BABIP BACON xAVG xwOBA xBABIP xwoBACON EV FB EV LA HR/FB ICR% IPA%
2025 BOS .230 .239 .378 .378 .166 .190 .273 .255 87.9 85.7 16.9 0.0% 40.0% 22.8%
2026 BOS .235 .319 .277 .320 .214 .307 .250 .352 89.5 91.8 12.3 23.1% 37.0% 24.1%
SP MLB Percentile 64 50 58 53 88 64 90 69 26 21 65 24 63 71
SP MLB AVG .246 .320 .287 .321 .246 .325 .285 .375 88.5 90.0 13.9 19.5% 38.5% 26.5%
Career .234 .306 .293 .329 .206 .287 .253 .337 89.3 90.8 13.0 19.2% 37.5% 23.9%

Connelly Early Approach › Plate Discipline

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team Zone% Str% Swing% O-Sw% Whiff% Foul Str% Con% Z-Con% O-Con% CS% SwStr% CSW% BIP% PLUS% IPR% Str-ICR
2025 BOS 44.9% 64.4% 51.1% 37.1% 33.9% 19.8% 66.1% 75.8% 51.5% 13.3% 17.3% 30.7% 13.9% 59.1% 0.62 53.3%
2026 BOS 43.4% 64.2% 46.9% 32.8% 23.7% 19.2% 76.3% 86.6% 60.6% 17.3% 11.1% 28.4% 16.6% 58.9% 0.52 51.9%
SP MLB Percentile 25 60 39 65 47 73 47 37 42 74 45 67 28 64 70 70
SP MLB AVG 44.9% 63.7% 47.6% 31.6% 24.3% 18.3% 75.7% 85.0% 59.7% 16.1% 11.6% 27.7% 17.8% 58.0% 0.47 50.0%
Career 43.7% 64.2% 47.6% 33.6% 25.6% 19.3% 74.4% 84.6% 58.9% 16.6% 12.2% 28.8% 16.2% 58.9% 0.54 52.1%

Connelly Early Approach › Locations

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team Zone% aLoc% x-mLoc% gLoc% hiLoc% y-mLoc% loLoc% iLoc% oLoc% mmLoc%
2025 BOS 44.9% 42.4% 23.8% 33.7% 25.4% 27.9% 46.7% 32.2% 44.0% 6.5%
2026 BOS 43.4% 39.7% 24.5% 35.8% 34.9% 24.7% 40.4% 33.2% 42.2% 6.9%
SP MLB Percentile 25 74 88 44 45 17 39 86 36 60
SP MLB AVG 44.9% 36.0% 27.4% 36.6% 35.4% 22.8% 41.8% 29.0% 43.6% 6.6%
Career 43.7% 40.1% 24.4% 35.4% 33.3% 25.2% 41.5% 33.1% 42.5% 6.9%

Connelly Early Approach › Counts

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Year Team Early% Behind% 2-Str% Early BIP% F-Str% TF-Str% ECS% 2-Str O-Sw% PAR%
2025 BOS 59.4% 10.8% 29.7% 9.9% 59.5% 50.6% 15.6% 40.6% 30.2%
2026 BOS 58.0% 11.8% 30.2% 15.0% 61.0% 51.0% 22.5% 30.3% 20.1%
SP MLB Percentile 32 52 68 48 44 62 76 89 63
SP MLB AVG 58.8% 12.0% 29.4% 15.1% 61.2% 49.7% 20.7% 26.6% 18.9%
Career 58.3% 11.7% 30.1% 14.1% 60.8% 51.0% 21.3% 32.1% 21.9%

Connelly Early PLV

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team P PLV QP% AP% BP% Q-BP% MTK% HP HL PLA
2025 BOS 323 5.19 51.4% 18.3% 30.3% 21.1% 2.2% -1.9 +1 2.80
2026 BOS 1,528 4.93 46.2% 18.1% 35.6% 10.6% 3.5% 3.8 -1 3.54
SP MLB Percentile 55 32 52 57 57 57 84 53 62 36
SP MLB AVG 1,366 4.97 46.0% 17.8% 36.2% 9.8% 4.9% 4.5 +1 3.29
Career 1,851 4.98 47.1% 18.1% 34.7% 12.4% 3.2% 2.0 +0 3.41
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